{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "source": "https://ai-2040.com/supplements/covert-ai-projects (section 3.3, Quantitative estimates)",
  "note": "Assumptions taken from the AI 2040 covert-projects supplement, not measurements. track3_units.py is the implementation; tests/test_track3_units.py keeps this file in sync with it.",
  "baseline_year": 2026.0,
  "us_it_watts_per_h100e_at_baseline": 833.0,
  "us_efficiency_progress_per_year": 1.37,
  "china_domestic_efficiency_gap": 3.7,
  "default_pue": 1.4,
  "smuggled_chip_year": 2028.6,
  "decommissioned_chip_year": 2026.5,
  "supplement_1gw_examples": {
    "smuggled_us_chips_2028": {
      "year": 2028.6,
      "efficiency_gap": 1.0,
      "stated_h100e": 1900000,
      "computed_h100e": 1944019
    },
    "decommissioned_us_chips": {
      "year": 2026.5,
      "efficiency_gap": 1.0,
      "stated_h100e": 1000000,
      "computed_h100e": 1003661
    },
    "domestic_chips_2028": {
      "year": 2028.6,
      "efficiency_gap": 3.7,
      "stated_h100e": 525000,
      "computed_h100e": 525410
    }
  },
  "illustrative_threshold_T": {
    "description": "The supplement's example T: 0.01% of pre-deal world compute, about 30k H100e.",
    "value": 30000,
    "unit": "H100e",
    "year": 2028.6,
    "pue": 1.4,
    "efficiency_gap": 1.0,
    "it_watts_per_h100e": 367.4273891484264,
    "it_mw": 11.022821674452793,
    "facility_mw": 15.43195034423391
  }
}